Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.003709 0.003896 0.004086 0.004296 0.004522 0.004756 0.005019
2025-07-27 0.003357 0.003631 0.003922 0.004258 0.004634 0.005044 0.005527
2025-08-03 0.003137 0.003459 0.003812 0.004230 0.004713 0.005257 0.005923
2025-08-10 0.002965 0.003320 0.003717 0.004197 0.004767 0.005428 0.006260
2025-08-17 0.002882 0.003272 0.003716 0.004265 0.004932 0.005726 0.006754
2025-08-24 0.002768 0.003177 0.003652 0.004250 0.004990 0.005890 0.007086
2025-08-31 0.002661 0.003085 0.003584 0.004221 0.005026 0.006023 0.007379
2025-09-07 0.002553 0.002986 0.003501 0.004168 0.005023 0.006103 0.007603
2025-09-14 0.002454 0.002892 0.003419 0.004111 0.005011 0.006167 0.007803
2025-09-21 0.002392 0.002842 0.003389 0.004117 0.005078 0.006332 0.008145
2025-09-28 0.002277 0.002720 0.003264 0.003994 0.004968 0.006256 0.008146
2025-10-05 0.002224 0.002675 0.003233 0.003992 0.005017 0.006395 0.008455
2025-10-12 0.002197 0.002663 0.003246 0.004047 0.005148 0.006652 0.008952
2025-10-19 0.002133 0.002600 0.003191 0.004010 0.005150 0.006729 0.009186
2025-10-26 0.002078 0.002547 0.003146 0.003984 0.005164 0.006823 0.009449
2025-11-02 0.002024 0.002495 0.003099 0.003954 0.005171 0.006904 0.009694
2025-11-09 0.002009 0.002493 0.003120 0.004017 0.005311 0.007186 0.010269
2025-11-16 0.001967 0.002452 0.003087 0.004003 0.005338 0.007300 0.010581
2025-11-23 0.001922 0.002408 0.003047 0.003977 0.005347 0.007384 0.010847
2025-11-30 0.001871 0.002353 0.002992 0.003927 0.005318 0.007408 0.011014
2025-12-07 0.001821 0.002300 0.002936 0.003875 0.005283 0.007420 0.011159
2025-12-14 0.001794 0.002275 0.002921 0.003880 0.005334 0.007570 0.011548
2025-12-21 0.001727 0.002196 0.002826 0.003767 0.005199 0.007417 0.011396